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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–2 on winners
spread MAE 9.2
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kennesaw State
@
Charleston Southern
|
+0.2 | 143.2 | 53% | 76–65 | ✗ |
UAlbany
@
Massachusetts
|
+16.6 | 143.0 | 89% | 73–87 | ✓ |
UMass Lowell
@
Long Island University
|
-13.5 | 142.9 | 15% | 84–64 | ✓ |
Kent State
@
Gonzaga
|
+4.3 | 146.6 | 67% | 66–73 | ✓ |
Troy
@
San Diego State
|
+8.0 | 146.8 | 79% | 55–60 | ✓ |
North Dakota State
@
Portland
|
+17.3 | 151.1 | 85% | 67–62 | ✗ |
South Dakota
@
Air Force
|
+9.3 | 131.0 | 83% | 58–79 | ✓ |
Oakland
@
Syracuse
|
+13.4 | 146.9 | 85% | 66–95 | ✓ |
Yale
@
Butler
|
+2.5 | 134.7 | 63% | 61–71 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.