← All models
Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–2 on winners
spread MAE 10.0
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Northwestern
@
Michigan State
|
+3.7 | 130.5 | 59% | 70–63 | ✗ |
Oregon State
@
USC
|
+9.0 | 135.7 | 83% | 62–63 | ✓ |
Stanford
@
Arizona State
|
+10.4 | 132.7 | 79% | 64–68 | ✓ |
Utah State
@
San Francisco
|
+1.8 | 155.4 | 59% | 82–64 | ✗ |
IU Indianapolis
@
Green Bay
|
+1.8 | 135.1 | 64% | 61–68 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.