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Baseline Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–2 on winners
spread MAE 13.7
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prairie View A&M
@
Florida
|
+29.6 | 154.2 | 90% | 55–114 | ✓ |
California Baptist
@
Kansas
|
+14.1 | 137.5 | 86% | 60–68 | ✓ |
Missouri
@
Miami
|
+4.0 | 148.4 | 70% | 66–80 | ✓ |
Furman
@
UConn
|
+21.3 | 134.8 | 90% | 71–82 | ✓ |
Saint Louis
@
Michigan
|
+13.2 | 156.4 | 87% | 72–95 | ✓ |
Louisville
@
Michigan State
|
+0.7 | 149.6 | 54% | 69–77 | ✓ |
TCU
@
Duke
|
+15.0 | 141.0 | 86% | 58–81 | ✓ |
Texas A&M
@
Houston
|
+8.7 | 147.4 | 83% | 57–88 | ✓ |
Dayton
@
UNC Wilmington
|
+0.4 | 136.7 | 38% | 80–61 | ✗ |
Texas
@
Gonzaga
|
+8.2 | 147.1 | 83% | 74–68 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.