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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–4 on winners
spread MAE 11.9
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Bonaventure
@
Oklahoma
|
+7.4 | 133.2 | 75% | 70–68 | ✗ |
Miami
@
Auburn
|
+8.9 | 151.7 | 79% | 79–61 | ✗ |
Texas
@
Purdue
|
+1.3 | 136.7 | 55% | 71–81 | ✓ |
TCU
@
Arizona
|
+8.7 | 145.8 | 79% | 80–85 | ✓ |
Drake
@
UNC Wilmington
|
-7.9 | 140.0 | 24% | 75–76 | ✗ |
Northern Colorado
@
UNC Asheville
|
+0.1 | 155.3 | 50% | 87–84 | ✗ |
Middle Tennessee
@
Boston University
|
-6.3 | 142.2 | 28% | 76–46 | ✓ |
Florida Gulf Coast
@
Coastal Carolina
|
+5.4 | 148.5 | 69% | 68–84 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.