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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 7.3
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
South Carolina Upstate
@
South Alabama
|
+11.0 | 142.5 | 84% | 79–83 | ✓ |
Ohio
@
Abilene Christian
|
+0.2 | 142.2 | 51% | 86–91 | ✓ |
UNC Wilmington
@
Northern Colorado
|
-2.3 | 153.2 | 42% | 80–64 | ✓ |
St. Bonaventure
@
Virginia
|
+2.6 | 121.0 | 60% | 52–51 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.