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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–2 on winners
spread MAE 11.5
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Southern Utah
@
UTEP
|
+4.6 | 143.6 | 66% | 82–69 | ✗ |
Vanderbilt
@
Xavier
|
+4.3 | 141.2 | 65% | 73–75 | ✓ |
Middle Tennessee
@
Abilene Christian
|
-2.8 | 145.0 | 40% | 85–69 | ✓ |
Middle Tennessee
@
UNC Wilmington
|
-5.1 | 139.0 | 32% | 90–96 | ✗ |
Wake Forest
@
Texas A&M
|
+1.8 | 146.2 | 56% | 52–67 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.