Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | ACU +105 MTSU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +16 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | MTSU -1.7 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -0.3 (-15.7) | 143.1 (+10.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -2.0 (-14.0) | 144.3 (+9.7) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -2.2 (-13.8) | 146.3 (+7.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -1.6 (-14.4) | 144.5 (+9.5) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2024 | MTSU 79 – 56 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 5-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#113) | 5.2 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#109) | 0.99 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#109) | 1.14 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#102) | 0.569 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.2% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.7% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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