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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–2 on winners
spread MAE 11.3
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Washington State
@
BYU
|
+2.0 | 137.5 | 57% | 77–58 | ✗ |
Youngstown State
@
Fresno State
|
+14.4 | 127.7 | 91% | 71–80 | ✓ |
Arkansas
@
Gonzaga
|
+10.3 | 158.2 | 83% | 74–68 | ✗ |
Michigan
@
Villanova
|
+5.5 | 134.8 | 69% | 55–63 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.