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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–2 on winners
spread MAE 8.8
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Tech
@
Duke
|
-0.8 | 139.7 | 47% | 73–78 | ✗ |
Houston
@
Arizona
|
-1.2 | 148.1 | 45% | 72–60 | ✓ |
Saint Peter's
@
Purdue
|
+12.6 | 137.7 | 87% | 67–64 | ✗ |
Providence
@
Kansas
|
+7.9 | 148.7 | 76% | 61–66 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.