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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
1–3 on winners
spread MAE 10.9
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North Carolina
@
UCLA
|
+5.4 | 149.7 | 69% | 73–66 | ✗ |
Iowa State
@
Miami
|
-1.2 | 135.4 | 46% | 56–70 | ✗ |
Portland
@
Southern Utah
|
+3.8 | 152.7 | 64% | 66–77 | ✓ |
Houston
@
Villanova
|
-2.9 | 127.7 | 40% | 44–50 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.