Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | UCLA -145 UNC +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNC +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -5.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -3.2 (-10.2) | 147.9 (-8.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -3.2 (-10.2) | 143.9 (-4.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -2.4 (-9.4) | 147.2 (-8.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -3.0 (-10.0) | 146.8 (-7.8) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | UNC 76 – 74 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 29-10 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-1 | 15-2 |
| Away | 8-4 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 6-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 77.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 17.6 (#10) | 12.7 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#9) | 2.55 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.88 (#8) | 3.01 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#9) | 0.603 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 78.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.