Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.0 Under |
| Money | SUU -160 PORT +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +11 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -3.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -5.8 (+5.2) | 153.6 (-10.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -3.6 (+7.4) | 153.7 (-10.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -3.4 (+7.6) | 155.8 (-12.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -4.0 (+7.0) | 155.4 (-12.4) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#169) | -0.9 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#143) | 0.18 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#152) | 0.15 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#95) | 0.498 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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