Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | BYU -135 WSU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +19 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -1.7 (-20.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -3.3 (-22.3) | 140.7 (-5.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -2.6 (-21.6) | 141.3 (-6.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -2.7 (-21.7) | 142.4 (-7.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -2.6 (-21.6) | 143.2 (-8.2) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#54) | 10.8 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#54) | 1.40 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#47) | 2.00 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#38) | 0.566 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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