Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -150 WAKE +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +15 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -1.1 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -3.1 (+11.9) | 145.5 (-26.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -2.3 (+12.7) | 145.8 (-26.8) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -2.3 (+12.7) | 146.3 (-27.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -2.3 (+12.7) | 143.8 (-24.8) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2024 | TA&M 57 – 44 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-13 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 16-4 | 18-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 78.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#49) | 11.7 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#39) | 1.97 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#41) | 2.42 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#69) | 0.554 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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