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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–1 on winners
spread MAE 9.0
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Houston
@
SMU
|
-1.1 | 139.3 | 46% | 74–60 | ✓ |
Northwestern
@
Michigan
|
+7.3 | 149.4 | 75% | 66–85 | ✓ |
Northern Colorado
@
Montana
|
+11.6 | 124.7 | 85% | 54–56 | ✓ |
Stanford
@
Oregon State
|
-7.8 | 132.0 | 24% | 81–71 | ✓ |
Winthrop
@
Charleston Southern
|
-20.8 | 147.0 | 3% | 85–69 | ✓ |
Monmouth
@
Siena
|
+0.7 | 159.2 | 53% | 62–76 | ✓ |
Campbell
@
Gardner-Webb
|
+6.9 | 141.6 | 74% | 70–61 | ✗ |
Longwood
@
South Carolina Upstate
|
+0.6 | 140.8 | 52% | 69–71 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.