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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–4 on winners
spread MAE 13.8
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC Santa Barbara
@
UC Irvine
|
-4.6 | 138.0 | 34% | 56–75 | ✗ |
UMass Lowell
@
Stony Brook
|
+6.8 | 137.1 | 73% | 64–71 | ✓ |
Hartford
@
New Hampshire
|
+5.7 | 138.9 | 70% | 51–53 | ✓ |
Binghamton
@
UMBC
|
+16.4 | 137.5 | 93% | 75–69 | ✗ |
Canisius
@
Monmouth
|
+9.2 | 159.5 | 80% | 69–97 | ✓ |
NJIT
@
Vermont
|
+8.0 | 149.6 | 77% | 81–80 | ✗ |
Drake
@
Indiana State
|
-12.2 | 143.6 | 13% | 73–66 | ✓ |
Evansville
@
Southern Illinois
|
+15.6 | 133.0 | 92% | 84–72 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.