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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–2 on winners
spread MAE 7.2
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+18.3 | 151.0 | 89% | 70–98 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.8 | 142.1 | 88% | 68–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.6 | 135.0 | 82% | 69–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.6 | 141.2 | 78% | 67–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.4 | 135.5 | 88% | 76–93 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.3 | 146.3 | 68% | 80–90 | ✓ |
|
|
+21.4 | 149.0 | 90% | 47–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.7 | 156.1 | 53% | 104–99 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.0 | 149.5 | 60% | 72–69 | ✗ |
|
|
+0.7 | 152.2 | 48% | 79–90 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.