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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–4 on winners
spread MAE 8.6
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fairleigh Dickinson
@
Florida Atlantic
|
+14.1 | 147.9 | 88% | 70–78 | ✓ |
Miami
@
Indiana
|
+1.8 | 149.8 | 57% | 85–69 | ✗ |
Utah Valley
@
Colorado
|
+2.4 | 142.6 | 60% | 81–69 | ✗ |
TCU
@
Gonzaga
|
+3.5 | 154.6 | 66% | 81–84 | ✓ |
Indiana State
@
Eastern Kentucky
|
-4.6 | 149.5 | 33% | 88–89 | ✗ |
Southern Utah
@
Rice
|
-5.5 | 160.0 | 30% | 81–79 | ✓ |
San José State
@
Radford
|
-5.1 | 129.8 | 28% | 57–67 | ✗ |
Charlotte
@
Milwaukee
|
-5.5 | 141.4 | 29% | 76–65 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.