← All models
Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–4 on winners
spread MAE 11.2
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Villanova
@
Liberty
|
+3.7 | 135.3 | 71% | 57–62 | ✓ |
Yale
@
Vanderbilt
|
+3.0 | 146.1 | 62% | 62–71 | ✓ |
Bradley
@
Wisconsin
|
+3.1 | 130.3 | 63% | 62–81 | ✓ |
Pittsburgh
@
Mississippi State
|
+1.7 | 133.7 | 57% | 60–59 | ✗ |
Eastern Washington
@
Washington State
|
+9.6 | 145.5 | 81% | 81–74 | ✗ |
Seton Hall
@
Colorado
|
+4.1 | 132.6 | 65% | 64–65 | ✓ |
Fairleigh Dickinson
@
Texas Southern
|
-0.4 | 147.7 | 50% | 84–61 | ✓ |
UCF
@
Florida
|
+2.9 | 138.5 | 64% | 67–49 | ✗ |
Oklahoma State
@
Youngstown State
|
-2.0 | 146.1 | 36% | 69–64 | ✓ |
Morehead State
@
Clemson
|
+15.8 | 137.8 | 88% | 68–64 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.