Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -188 HALL +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +1 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -4.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -4.4 (-3.4) | 132.3 (-3.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -3.8 (-2.8) | 130.3 (-1.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -4.1 (-3.1) | 132.6 (-3.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -4.8 (-3.8) | 132.9 (-3.9) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-5 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 65.4 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#59) | 8.6 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#104) | 1.13 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#88) | 1.58 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#97) | 0.530 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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