Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | YSU +210 OKST -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +5 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | OKST -3.8 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -0.6 (-4.4) | 144.7 (-11.7) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -2.7 (-2.3) | 142.9 (-9.9) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -2.0 (-3.0) | 146.1 (-13.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -1.4 (-3.6) | 146.3 (-13.3) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 20-16 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-6 |
| Away | 9-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#118) | 10.6 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#143) | 1.79 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#144) | 2.41 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#133) | 0.542 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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