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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.7
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Southeast Missouri State
@
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
|
+2.7 | 157.5 | 62% | 71–75 | ✓ |
Hofstra
@
Rutgers
|
+6.6 | 128.9 | 71% | 88–86 | ✗ |
Toledo
@
Michigan
|
+6.2 | 158.9 | 71% | 80–90 | ✓ |
Southern Miss
@
UAB
|
+7.1 | 153.0 | 76% | 60–88 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.