If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Jersey Mike’s Arena · March 14, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -7.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money RUTG -350 / HOF +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual HOF +2 174 Lost
Massey RUTG -9.7 (-11.7) — —
Massey Totals — 129.4 (+44.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 71% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 79% ✗
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -6.4 (-8.4) 131.7 (+42.3) 62% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RUTG -7.3 (-9.3) 132.1 (+41.9) 65% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -6.6 (-8.6) 128.9 (+45.1) 71% ✗
Baseline ML RUTG -6.2 (-8.2) 129.9 (+44.1) 54% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 29, 2020 RUTG 70 – 56 HOF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG HOF
Overall 19-15 25-10
Conference 10-10 16-2
Home 14-6 11-2
Away 4-7 11-5
Neutral 1-2 3-3
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 74.2
Avg Pts Against 61.1 66.9
Massey 12.3 (#31) 6.1 (#89)
Bradley-Terry 1.46 (#65) 1.16 (#80)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.89 (#61) 1.27 (#91)
RPI 0.532 (#107) 0.584 (#33)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG HOF
FG% 42.8% 48.0%
3PT% 31.8% 36.8%
REB / G 37.0 33.3
OREB / G 11.5 7.4
AST / TO 1.31 1.30
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.6% 55.2%
TOV% 17.2% 15.7%
ORB% 32.0% 23.0%
FT Rate 20.0% 15.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.9% 46.2%
Opp TOV% 21.8% 18.5%
DRB% 72.4% 68.7%
Opp FT Rate 19.3% 17.6%

Game Analysis

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