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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–1 on winners
spread MAE 12.8
7 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Long Island University
@
Fairleigh Dickinson
|
-7.1 | 147.0 | 23% | 79–75 | ✓ |
Washington
@
Oregon
|
+9.8 | 145.9 | 83% | 56–84 | ✓ |
Jacksonville
@
Kennesaw State
|
+5.5 | 131.3 | 70% | 68–76 | ✓ |
Winthrop
@
High Point
|
-1.8 | 143.6 | 36% | 56–65 | ✗ |
Boston College
@
Wake Forest
|
+11.8 | 142.6 | 87% | 57–87 | ✓ |
Longwood
@
Hampton
|
-6.2 | 130.3 | 27% | 73–48 | ✓ |
Belmont
@
Eastern Illinois
|
-16.1 | 135.1 | 13% | 90–56 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.