← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →

6–3 on winners spread MAE 12.5 56 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Northwestern State @ Texas Tech	—	—	—	58–101	—
South Dakota State @ West Virginia	—	—	—	71–79	—
Arizona State @ Rhode Island	—	—	—	94–88	—
Sacred Heart @ Rutgers	—	—	—	63–86	—
SIU Edwardsville @ Saint Louis	—	—	—	52–89	—
California @ Oregon State	—	—	—	63–71	—
Green Bay @ Minnesota	—	—	—	69–99	—
Florida Atlantic @ South Alabama	—	—	—	66–68	—
Saint Francis @ Pittsburgh	—	—	—	80–70	—
SE Louisiana @ Purdue Fort Wayne	—	—	—	63–67	—
High Point @ Davidson	—	—	—	73–82	—
Florida A&M @ Florida Gulf Coast	—	—	—	56–65	—
Idaho State @ Santa Clara	—	—	—	49–62	—
Oral Roberts @ Missouri	—	—	—	64–91	—
UIC @ Northern Illinois	—	—	—	65–61	—
Saint Peter's @ St. John's	—	—	—	75–76	—
Mississippi Valley State @ Arkansas	—	—	—	62–142	—
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas	—	—	—	55–91	—
Central Connecticut @ UConn	—	—	—	75–102	—
Charleston Southern @ NC State	—	—	—	61–95	—
Southern Utah @ Loyola Marymount	—	—	—	83–85	—
Sam Houston @ SMU	—	—	—	67–97	—
Tennessee Tech @ Indiana	—	—	—	59–89	—
Jacksonville State @ Alabama	—	—	—	57–81	—
South Dakota @ Colorado	—	—	—	61–84	—
Houston Christian @ TCU	—	—	—	45–69	—
Mississippi State @ Clemson	—	—	—	42–53	—
Grambling @ Grand Canyon	—	—	—	53–69	—
California Baptist @ USC	—	—	—	87–95	—
Georgia State @ Georgia Tech	—	—	—	123–120	—
VCU @ Utah State	—	—	—	85–69	—
Montana State @ UNLV	—	—	—	91–78	—
Villanova @ Boston College	—	—	—	76–67	—
Eastern Illinois @ Wisconsin	—	—	—	67–77	—
UC Davis @ Nicholls	—	—	—	93–101	—
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Marquette	—	—	—	57–99	—
UCLA @ San Diego State	—	—	—	58–73	—
Seattle U @ Portland	—	—	—	84–72	—
Texas Southern @ Washington State	—	—	—	52–56	—
Middle Tennessee @ Omaha	—	—	—	59–60	—
Chicago State @ Illinois	+25.0	150.9	91%	38–97	✓
Bradley @ Xavier	+16.0	144.4	88%	50–51	✓
Western Kentucky @ Memphis	+2.5	146.3	60%	75–69	✗
Kansas @ Gonzaga	—	—	—	90–102	—
Nevada @ Nebraska	+10.7	143.8	79%	69–66	✗
Austin Peay @ East Tennessee State	-6.4	136.0	23%	67–66	✓
La Salle @ St. John's	—	—	—	65–82	—
VCU @ West Virginia	—	—	—	66–78	—
Ohio @ North Carolina A&T	-6.2	151.1	28%	84–72	✓
Toledo @ Oakland	-6.1	137.2	27%	80–53	✓
Towson @ San Francisco	+5.9	140.7	72%	68–79	✓
Southern @ North Carolina Central	—	—	—	78–85	—
Auburn @ Saint Joseph's	—	—	—	96–91	—
Belmont @ Howard	—	—	—	95–78	—
Northern Iowa @ Saint Mary's	-2.1	143.8	42%	64–66	✗
Liberty @ Mississippi State	—	—	—	84–73	—

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.