Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | NEB -200 NEV +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +3 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | NEB -25.3 (-28.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -12.1 (-15.1) | 136.8 (-1.8) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -10.7 (-13.7) | 143.8 (-8.8) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-20 | 16-10 |
| Conference | 3-16 | 10-7 |
| Home | 6-9 | 10-2 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#10) | 4.7 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#31) | 1.06 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#23) | 1.55 (#10) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 41.7% | 47.1% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.90 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 42.5% | 17.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 13.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 34.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 35.2% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 79.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.9% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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