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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–4 on winners
spread MAE 11.3
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Villanova
@
Liberty
|
+4.3 | 135.8 | 72% | 57–62 | ✓ |
Yale
@
Vanderbilt
|
+2.5 | 146.7 | 61% | 62–71 | ✓ |
Bradley
@
Wisconsin
|
+4.1 | 130.2 | 61% | 62–81 | ✓ |
Pittsburgh
@
Mississippi State
|
+1.6 | 134.1 | 59% | 60–59 | ✗ |
Eastern Washington
@
Washington State
|
+9.9 | 146.2 | 79% | 81–74 | ✗ |
Seton Hall
@
Colorado
|
+4.8 | 132.9 | 67% | 64–65 | ✓ |
Fairleigh Dickinson
@
Texas Southern
|
-0.5 | 148.3 | 52% | 84–61 | ✓ |
UCF
@
Florida
|
+3.9 | 140.1 | 62% | 67–49 | ✗ |
Oklahoma State
@
Youngstown State
|
-1.4 | 146.3 | 34% | 69–64 | ✓ |
Morehead State
@
Clemson
|
+15.2 | 135.1 | 87% | 68–64 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.