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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.2
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Southeast Missouri State
@
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
|
+2.5 | 157.3 | 65% | 71–75 | ✓ |
Hofstra
@
Rutgers
|
+6.2 | 129.9 | 54% | 88–86 | ✗ |
Toledo
@
Michigan
|
+6.5 | 159.1 | 71% | 80–90 | ✓ |
Southern Miss
@
UAB
|
+8.3 | 152.6 | 78% | 60–88 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.