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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–0 on winners
spread MAE 9.8
7 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jacksonville State
@
Wisconsin
|
+18.1 | 127.4 | 95% | 60–75 | ✓ |
Furman
@
Tulane
|
+8.8 | 178.4 | 79% | 110–117 | ✓ |
The Citadel
@
Charleston
|
+7.5 | 138.9 | 75% | 71–86 | ✓ |
East Carolina
@
Florida
|
+16.4 | 159.6 | 93% | 65–70 | ✓ |
St. Thomas
@
Marquette
|
+19.7 | 130.8 | 96% | 79–84 | ✓ |
Grambling
@
Drake
|
+25.2 | 143.1 | 99% | 56–68 | ✓ |
UL Monroe
@
Lamar
|
+7.4 | 145.7 | 75% | 73–97 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.