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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–4 on winners
spread MAE 10.0
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fairleigh Dickinson
@
Florida Atlantic
|
+20.1 | 155.0 | 97% | 70–78 | ✓ |
Miami
@
Indiana
|
+2.8 | 152.8 | 60% | 85–69 | ✗ |
Utah Valley
@
Colorado
|
+4.9 | 139.7 | 67% | 81–69 | ✗ |
TCU
@
Gonzaga
|
+4.3 | 158.5 | 65% | 81–84 | ✓ |
Indiana State
@
Eastern Kentucky
|
-6.0 | 153.0 | 29% | 88–89 | ✗ |
Southern Utah
@
Rice
|
-7.0 | 166.2 | 26% | 81–79 | ✓ |
San José State
@
Radford
|
-4.5 | 127.8 | 34% | 57–67 | ✗ |
Charlotte
@
Milwaukee
|
-6.8 | 139.1 | 27% | 76–65 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.