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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–1 on winners
spread MAE 9.3
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kennesaw State
@
Charleston Southern
|
-0.7 | 142.8 | 48% | 76–65 | ✓ |
UAlbany
@
Massachusetts
|
+22.1 | 143.9 | 98% | 73–87 | ✓ |
UMass Lowell
@
Long Island University
|
-18.4 | 142.9 | 5% | 84–64 | ✓ |
Kent State
@
Gonzaga
|
+3.1 | 147.7 | 61% | 66–73 | ✓ |
Troy
@
San Diego State
|
+9.7 | 147.4 | 81% | 55–60 | ✓ |
North Dakota State
@
Portland
|
+19.8 | 154.4 | 96% | 67–62 | ✗ |
South Dakota
@
Air Force
|
+11.6 | 127.7 | 85% | 58–79 | ✓ |
Oakland
@
Syracuse
|
+17.0 | 151.1 | 94% | 66–95 | ✓ |
Yale
@
Butler
|
+1.0 | 130.7 | 54% | 61–71 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.