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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–1 on winners
spread MAE 10.8
7 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Long Island University
@
Fairleigh Dickinson
|
-7.3 | 149.7 | 25% | 79–75 | ✓ |
Washington
@
Oregon
|
+10.5 | 144.8 | 83% | 56–84 | ✓ |
Jacksonville
@
Kennesaw State
|
+5.7 | 124.8 | 70% | 68–76 | ✓ |
Winthrop
@
High Point
|
-1.4 | 146.3 | 45% | 56–65 | ✗ |
Boston College
@
Wake Forest
|
+12.4 | 142.9 | 87% | 57–87 | ✓ |
Longwood
@
Hampton
|
-7.9 | 128.8 | 24% | 73–48 | ✓ |
Belmont
@
Eastern Illinois
|
-26.8 | 132.7 | 1% | 90–56 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.