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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–2 on winners
spread MAE 6.3
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Loyola Chicago
@
Indiana State
|
-4.1 | 138.0 | 35% | 58–48 | ✓ |
Bradley
@
Northern Iowa
|
-2.0 | 138.2 | 43% | 75–73 | ✓ |
Texas Southern
@
Prairie View A&M
|
-1.3 | 145.8 | 45% | 67–73 | ✗ |
Boise State
@
Wyoming
|
-12.4 | 159.1 | 13% | 83–60 | ✓ |
Buffalo
@
Western Michigan
|
-12.1 | 145.7 | 14% | 85–69 | ✓ |
Akron
@
Northern Illinois
|
-14.8 | 131.5 | 9% | 65–67 | ✗ |
Kent State
@
Central Michigan
|
-11.2 | 157.0 | 15% | 94–85 | ✓ |
Alabama State
@
Mississippi Valley State
|
-8.9 | 145.0 | 21% | 64–51 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.