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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–2 on winners
spread MAE 5.3
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
San Francisco
@
Loyola Marymount
|
-1.3 | 135.1 | 45% | 60–68 | ✗ |
San José State
@
Fresno State
|
+15.5 | 150.8 | 92% | 65–80 | ✓ |
Maryland
@
Illinois
|
+12.1 | 152.1 | 87% | 66–63 | ✗ |
Temple
@
SMU
|
+12.6 | 145.1 | 87% | 68–79 | ✓ |
UConn
@
DePaul
|
-11.0 | 149.7 | 16% | 60–53 | ✓ |
Colorado
@
Utah
|
-8.5 | 134.0 | 22% | 65–58 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.