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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–1 on winners
spread MAE 7.1
7 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Detroit Mercy
@
Notre Dame
|
+6.1 | 152.3 | 71% | 70–78 | ✓ |
Seton Hall
@
Penn State
|
+8.1 | 146.4 | 77% | 98–92 | ✗ |
California
@
UCLA
|
+17.4 | 135.7 | 94% | 56–76 | ✓ |
George Washington
@
UMBC
|
+13.8 | 148.4 | 89% | 81–92 | ✓ |
Fairfield
@
Hartford
|
+15.2 | 135.2 | 92% | 54–67 | ✓ |
UNC Wilmington
@
East Carolina
|
+9.3 | 138.1 | 80% | 78–88 | ✓ |
South Carolina State
@
Charlotte
|
+12.5 | 129.3 | 87% | 40–78 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.