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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–5 on winners
spread MAE 10.8
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Villanova
@
Liberty
|
+4.0 | 133.2 | 70% | 57–62 | ✓ |
Yale
@
Vanderbilt
|
+3.3 | 144.5 | 65% | 62–71 | ✓ |
Bradley
@
Wisconsin
|
+5.2 | 128.7 | 66% | 62–81 | ✓ |
Pittsburgh
@
Mississippi State
|
+1.7 | 130.5 | 59% | 60–59 | ✗ |
Eastern Washington
@
Washington State
|
+10.9 | 141.1 | 81% | 81–74 | ✗ |
Seton Hall
@
Colorado
|
+3.8 | 130.3 | 66% | 64–65 | ✓ |
Fairleigh Dickinson
@
Texas Southern
|
+1.0 | 146.3 | 59% | 84–61 | ✗ |
UCF
@
Florida
|
+3.2 | 138.1 | 62% | 67–49 | ✗ |
Oklahoma State
@
Youngstown State
|
-2.7 | 142.9 | 38% | 69–64 | ✓ |
Morehead State
@
Clemson
|
+12.6 | 136.6 | 85% | 68–64 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.