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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–4 on winners
spread MAE 11.3
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+7.1 | 134.8 | 71% | 70–68 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.6 | 145.5 | 67% | 79–61 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.4 | 133.1 | 63% | 71–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.3 | 144.0 | 76% | 80–85 | ✓ |
|
|
-7.0 | 135.8 | 26% | 75–76 | ✗ |
|
|
+0.1 | 152.0 | 48% | 87–84 | ✗ |
|
|
-4.3 | 138.0 | 33% | 76–46 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.1 | 146.6 | 71% | 68–84 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.