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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–1 on winners
spread MAE 6.4
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-2.5 | 134.7 | 46% | 58–48 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.0 | 137.8 | 50% | 75–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.7 | 136.3 | 64% | 67–73 | ✓ |
|
|
-9.7 | 151.2 | 18% | 83–60 | ✓ |
|
|
-10.8 | 146.4 | 18% | 85–69 | ✓ |
|
|
-10.2 | 133.5 | 20% | 65–67 | ✗ |
|
|
-8.2 | 152.1 | 20% | 94–85 | ✓ |
|
|
-6.2 | 134.2 | 19% | 64–51 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.