← All models
Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–2 on winners
spread MAE 10.3
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Towson
@
Monmouth
|
+0.3 | 133.4 | 53% | 71–72 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
Seattle U
|
+4.7 | 132.9 | 69% | 50–60 | ✓ |
SE Louisiana
@
East Texas A&M
|
+1.2 | 132.0 | 53% | 53–70 | ✓ |
Coppin State
@
South Carolina State
|
+4.6 | 141.7 | 68% | 59–57 | ✗ |
Louisiana
@
Old Dominion
|
+5.4 | 134.8 | 70% | 72–83 | ✓ |
Colgate
@
Boston University
|
-0.9 | 148.5 | 49% | 58–85 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.