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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–1 on winners
spread MAE 9.5
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas A&M
@
Houston
|
+9.4 | 131.5 | 82% | 95–100 | ✓ |
Iowa
@
Utah
|
+5.2 | 160.6 | 69% | 82–91 | ✓ |
Boston College
@
UNLV
|
+2.5 | 139.6 | 62% | 70–79 | ✓ |
Yale
@
San Diego State
|
+4.6 | 136.8 | 68% | 57–85 | ✓ |
High Point
@
Cleveland State
|
-3.0 | 151.1 | 37% | 93–74 | ✓ |
Arkansas State
@
Montana
|
-0.6 | 151.2 | 52% | 74–61 | ✓ |
Fairfield
@
Chicago State
|
-6.8 | 138.3 | 24% | 77–74 | ✓ |
Seattle U
@
Evansville
|
-4.9 | 135.9 | 31% | 71–57 | ✓ |
Purdue Fort Wayne
@
Tarleton State
|
+4.8 | 146.6 | 72% | 73–72 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.