Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | EVAN +280 SEA -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +14 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -6.4 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -7.1 (-6.9) | 137.7 (-9.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -4.9 (-9.1) | 135.9 (-7.9) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -5.1 (-8.9) | 136.5 (-8.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -5.0 (-9.0) | 139.1 (-11.1) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#212) | 3.6 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#160) | 0.27 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#177) | 0.60 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#170) | 0.509 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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