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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–1 on winners
spread MAE 9.3
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas A&M
@
Houston
|
+9.6 | 134.7 | 83% | 95–100 | ✓ |
Iowa
@
Utah
|
+5.6 | 160.1 | 68% | 82–91 | ✓ |
Boston College
@
UNLV
|
+3.3 | 140.6 | 50% | 70–79 | ✓ |
Yale
@
San Diego State
|
+4.6 | 137.2 | 66% | 57–85 | ✓ |
High Point
@
Cleveland State
|
-3.0 | 153.0 | 42% | 93–74 | ✓ |
Arkansas State
@
Montana
|
-0.1 | 151.7 | 50% | 74–61 | ✓ |
Fairfield
@
Chicago State
|
-6.1 | 139.4 | 23% | 77–74 | ✓ |
Seattle U
@
Evansville
|
-5.1 | 136.5 | 29% | 71–57 | ✓ |
Purdue Fort Wayne
@
Tarleton State
|
+4.5 | 148.0 | 70% | 73–72 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.