← All models
Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–4 on winners
spread MAE 9.0
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fairleigh Dickinson
@
Florida Atlantic
|
+14.9 | 149.2 | 88% | 70–78 | ✓ |
Miami
@
Indiana
|
+2.9 | 146.8 | 59% | 85–69 | ✗ |
Utah Valley
@
Colorado
|
+3.2 | 141.9 | 53% | 81–69 | ✗ |
TCU
@
Gonzaga
|
+3.8 | 151.7 | 65% | 81–84 | ✓ |
Indiana State
@
Eastern Kentucky
|
-4.6 | 149.5 | 31% | 88–89 | ✗ |
Southern Utah
@
Rice
|
-5.7 | 161.0 | 27% | 81–79 | ✓ |
San José State
@
Radford
|
-5.4 | 129.3 | 28% | 57–67 | ✗ |
Charlotte
@
Milwaukee
|
-5.5 | 142.5 | 28% | 76–65 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.