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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–0 on winners
spread MAE 8.1
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valparaiso
@
Northern Iowa
|
+2.4 | 135.3 | 64% | 60–74 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
Arizona State
|
+3.8 | 144.2 | 66% | 73–75 | ✓ |
Minnesota
@
Maryland
|
+2.8 | 138.7 | 63% | 59–72 | ✓ |
Stephen F. Austin
@
LSU New Orleans
|
-7.1 | 156.2 | 21% | 89–79 | ✓ |
Eastern Kentucky
@
Tennessee Tech
|
-8.1 | 152.8 | 21% | 83–72 | ✓ |
Murray State
@
SIU Edwardsville
|
-6.6 | 140.3 | 23% | 86–57 | ✓ |
Hampton
@
Longwood
|
+4.4 | 134.9 | 63% | 73–83 | ✓ |
South Carolina Upstate
@
Presbyterian
|
+2.5 | 133.6 | 61% | 65–75 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.