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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.4
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+4.3 | 146.4 | 65% | 70–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.2 | 145.5 | 77% | 98–92 | ✗ |
|
|
+12.5 | 137.5 | 85% | 56–76 | ✓ |
|
|
— | — | — | 72–77 | — |
|
|
+9.3 | 146.9 | 78% | 81–92 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.9 | 134.7 | 86% | 54–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.6 | 139.2 | 74% | 78–88 | ✓ |
|
|
— | — | — | 71–78 | — |
|
|
+10.6 | 130.7 | 81% | 40–78 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.