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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–1 on winners
spread MAE 9.1
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas A&M
@
Houston
|
+12.3 | 130.0 | 87% | 95–100 | ✓ |
Iowa
@
Utah
|
+5.4 | 166.6 | 69% | 82–91 | ✓ |
Boston College
@
UNLV
|
+3.1 | 144.2 | 61% | 70–79 | ✓ |
Yale
@
San Diego State
|
+6.3 | 136.2 | 72% | 57–85 | ✓ |
High Point
@
Cleveland State
|
-5.0 | 158.9 | 32% | 93–74 | ✓ |
Arkansas State
@
Montana
|
-0.5 | 156.9 | 48% | 74–61 | ✓ |
Fairfield
@
Chicago State
|
-7.6 | 140.6 | 24% | 77–74 | ✓ |
Seattle U
@
Evansville
|
-6.6 | 140.9 | 27% | 71–57 | ✓ |
Purdue Fort Wayne
@
Tarleton State
|
+4.1 | 148.6 | 65% | 73–72 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.