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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–3 on winners
spread MAE 10.1
7 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
South Dakota
@
Kansas City
|
-0.0 | 139.9 | 50% | 74–61 | ✓ |
Iowa
@
Illinois
|
+2.3 | 157.2 | 58% | 72–74 | ✓ |
Minnesota
@
Northwestern
|
+5.9 | 138.5 | 70% | 62–75 | ✓ |
Charleston
@
Hofstra
|
+2.7 | 165.0 | 60% | 92–76 | ✗ |
Georgia State
@
App State
|
+0.6 | 128.5 | 52% | 71–66 | ✗ |
Western Illinois
@
Oral Roberts
|
+5.0 | 165.3 | 67% | 68–80 | ✓ |
Delaware
@
Towson
|
+6.3 | 129.1 | 72% | 69–56 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.