Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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4–2 on winners spread MAE 6.3 6 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Montana @ Montana State +7.6 136.1 75% 59–66 ✓
Wisconsin @ Maryland -2.8 132.6 40% 70–69 ✓
Campbell @ Winthrop +4.2 138.6 65% 72–74 ✓
Wofford @ UNC Greensboro -3.0 124.4 39% 54–58 ✗
Army @ Colgate +8.0 153.8 77% 57–76 ✓
Morgan State @ South Carolina State +8.4 147.5 78% 88–81 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.