← All models
Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–3 on winners
spread MAE 15.9
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bryant
@
Cincinnati
|
+23.8 | 136.1 | 98% | 58–73 | ✓ |
Fordham
@
St. John's
|
+8.8 | 154.7 | 79% | 69–83 | ✓ |
Arizona State
@
Oregon
|
+9.9 | 132.9 | 82% | 69–67 | ✗ |
Ohio State
@
Penn State
|
-0.9 | 132.2 | 47% | 76–64 | ✓ |
Charleston Southern
@
Tarleton State
|
+19.3 | 130.7 | 96% | 59–57 | ✗ |
Texas Southern
@
Florida
|
+22.0 | 131.3 | 98% | 69–54 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.