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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–3 on winners
spread MAE 4.8
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wagner
@
Howard
|
+1.4 | 129.1 | 56% | 71–68 | ✗ |
Texas Southern
@
Tarleton State
|
+10.4 | 142.1 | 84% | 71–82 | ✓ |
North Texas
@
LSU
|
+2.4 | 139.0 | 62% | 84–77 | ✗ |
Boston College
@
Providence
|
+3.8 | 138.8 | 67% | 62–57 | ✗ |
Xavier
@
Georgia
|
+1.3 | 146.6 | 57% | 76–78 | ✓ |
Cornell
@
Ohio State
|
+10.1 | 151.1 | 81% | 83–88 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.